The markets are trying to get uglier and the bulls are retreating. Most violent on my screen this morning is Riverbed, which has been one of the most volatile stocks in the market for months now: And it’s been wildly volatile the last week too: Long-time subscribers know that I have been pounding the table […]
It’s a pretty bloody red open this morni…
It’s a pretty bloody red open this morning, after Hewlett-Packard pulled a Cisco and guided lower for the second quarter in a row. HPQ’s getting killed and so is most of tech, but speaking of Cisco, it and a few other longs of ours are up today despite the ugly market. Google, instead of being […]
Rougher day for the portfolio today than…
Rougher day for the portfolio today than we have had even on most down days of late. Our silver puts and other bearish bets were all profitable for us today, while most of our longs were in the red. So be it. Three quick news articles for you to look over tonight. First, Apple’s got […]
I just bought some more Visteon common. …
I just bought some more Visteon common. I thought the call options on this one, which has been trading in a $20 range between $60 and $75 for the last year, would be cheaper than they are right now. This stock’s kind of range performance for such a sustained period of time would normally translate […]
Here’s a list of my positions, in approx…
Here’s a list of my positions, in approximate order from largest notional size, to smallest: Longs – Corning Nuance Riverbed Cisco Cypress Celestica Ciena Microsoft Apple Google Adtran DBA Visteon Nokia Shorts – GLD SLV LPS LYV XLF CVC
IMF head arrested on rape charges in NYC. Israel fires across the Syrian border. The Middle East revolutions continue driving death and despair. Lowe’s offers disappointing guidance and is down pre-market. And there’s a smattering of smaller M&A deals announced today too. The futures here are down and with the rest of the world trading […]
Let’s look at some Cloud Revolution char…
Let’s look at some Cloud Revolution charts and behold the mindblowing growth of the fastest growing subsector (cloud revolution) of the fastest growing marketplace in the history of the planet (the app/smartphone/tablet/cloud revolution). First off, how about the explosive growth in the movement to storing on the cloud what we used to store on our […]
What a week it was. Lots of back and fo…
What a week it was. Lots of back and forth and grind, but the stock markets end up just about flat on the week as we head into the final contra-hour of the week. Our portfolio actually had a pretty good week though, much better than the broader markets, with our silver, Riverbed and Nuance […]
Quick bulls, what’s the bear case?! And…
Quick bulls, what’s the bear case?! And tell right now, bears, what’s the bull thesis? Several years ago, I trademarked the term “Flip It” because I noticed how crucial it is for great investors, traders, thinkers, business people, comedians, and everybody to flip conventional wisdom upside down. The old saying, “Buy when others are fearful […]
It’s an ugly day in the markets and our …
It’s an ugly day in the markets and our portfolio’s red too. I just bought some Celestica common stock on its weakness today following its recent weakness in days of late. It’s still one of the cheapest and least-covered tech stocks in the world.
Germany’s GDP was apparently better than…
Germany’s GDP was apparently better than the results of some poll from some news organization of some idiot economists who think it matters if they can extrapolate the last three months worth of macroeconomic trends into a decent guess about what the bureaucrats who are paid to hedonize and modify and seasonally adjust government measurements […]
I am also buying some Google common stoc…
I am also buying some Google common stock today. I think, like Apple, it looks like it could get be getting ready to go on run. The momentum traders have left both names — Apple because it’s been so flattish for months now and Google because it’s been worse than flattish since it topped out […]
I do think Apple’s setting itself up to …
I do think Apple’s setting itself up to run in both the near-term as well as the longer-term, and as you guys know I see a $2k target on it in ten years anyway. I’d like to build up my Apple common position, so I’m adding to my Apple today. Here’s a video we shot […]
What one stock taketh away, another give…
What one stock taketh away, another giveth. (Flip it.) The hits we’re taking in Cisco and Celestica are being countered by the profits in Riverbed and Silver. Most of the rest of the portfolio is hardly budging and that means our portfolio is flat-to-slightly down on the day, much like the broader markets. I find […]
Cisco and silver are each down almost 5%…
Cisco and silver are each down almost 5% in the early action. On the conference call cisco CEO guided slightly lower again for next quarter for the fourth time in a row. I am digging through their report and others but the upshot is that I plan to hold my cisco position steady. We were […]
Flattish day for the portfolio by the cl…
Flattish day for the portfolio by the close. After the close though, our second largest position, Cisco, reported very strong earnings and the stock is up 3%. That said, we won’t know how the stock will trade tomorrow until we hear from Cisco CEO, John Chambers, on the upcoming conference call in which he’ll give […]
Let’s review what I’ve been doing to re-…
Let’s review what I’ve been doing to re-build my portfolio in broad terms. From a strategic standpoint, I’ve been buying the best companies I can find in the App Revolution and the Cloud Revolution which I think will explode into a new bubble in coming years and I’ve complimented those longs with long positions in […]
The markets have fallen hard intraday, t…
The markets have fallen hard intraday, though it’s not a full 2% intraday swing and thus doesn’t meet the worrisome “dislocation” threshold. Regardless, the green on our sheets from this morning has mostly faded to red, though our SLV puts are now more profitable than ever after today’s 7% collapse in silver. Silver’s playing out […]
Here’s some very good fundamental analys…
Here’s some very good fundamental analysis from Gleacher & Co about the great quarter that Nuance reported last night. I agree with most of their analysis, except my price target is double theirs. They’re looking for a $26 stock. I think this stock could run to $50 in the next year or so: NUAN: Speaking […]
Silver has dislocated itself to the down…
Silver has dislocated itself to the downside again today, losing almost 5% this morning and making our SLV puts pop. Gold down. It sure seems to me that silver and not gold is the driver of the direction of the precious metals everyday. Nice gains in the portfolio again this morning and I’ve not pulled […]