The markets reversed and most stocks are down big from their highs from [checks notes, checks the charts] uh, yesterday morning. TSLA down 7%, QQQs are down more than 3%, IWM is down more than 4% and the SMH semiconductor index is down nearly 5% since [checks notes, checks the charts] uh, yesterday morning. The […]
We’ve Seen These Cycles Before, Here’s Playbook For Those Revolutionary Profits
“There is an old investing adage – often mistakenly attributed to Nathan Mayer Rothschild – that one should “buy to the sound of cannons, sell to the sound of trumpets”. Most of all, don’t be greedy by getting levered up in the summer of 2007 when the credit cycle is working against you. The endless […]
Wild Market Moves Underscore Why We Trust The Playbook And Long-Term Analysis
Here’s something I started writing at the near-term bottom that the markets put in on Friday when I was working instead of even pretending to be on staycation as was the plan for last week. When the markets crashed on Wednesday, I basically called off my break although I did sneak in a round of […]
Our Covid-19 Vaccine Stock Is Flying. Here’s The Playbook.
Our investment in a Covid-19 vaccine potential, Dynavax, is rocking this morning, up 40% in the pre-market near $7 per share and up nicely from the $4ish level where we started buying it. Recall that I’d bought a second tranche the other day when the stock was down on no news with the rest of […]
Trade Alert: Here’s the playbook
It’s another ugly open, and everybody expects the close to be even worse, since they assume nobody wants to buy before the weekend. I think people were thinking that yesterday already and that means maybe everybody who wanted to sell before the weekend already has. Good thing we aren’t trying to game short-term market moves. […]
Sliding puppy, Bitcoin maximalism, Rate cut playbook, Best battery stocks
Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat, including a discussion about gene editing technologies, how much cash is too much and much more. Q. I know it depends on your situation, but I’ve been trimming and trimming and not buying anything. Currently about 40% cash… too cash heavy? Am I missing out or […]
News that matters: Headlines, charts, analysis and playbook
We’ll do this week’s Live Q&A Chat tomorrow morning at 7am ET in the TWC Chat Room or just email us your question to support@tradingwithcody.com. For this report tonight, I’m going to run through a few headlines and add some commentary to get more context around where we are and what matters. Then I’ll review, draw some […]
Trade Alert: Brexit playbook (or Putting on my British shorts)
I’ve spent some time the last couple weeks studying Brexit and its potential market ramifications and here’s what I’ve come up. I started doing the analysis on the assumption that there’d probably be a chance to buy British stocks on the cheap as Brexit was supposedly about to happen. But after reading just about everything […]
Predictions and playbook for the near-, mid- and longer-term (Or: The Great Global Trade War of the 21st Century is STILL not bullish)
A lot of investors and pundits are starting to freak out. Meanwhile, I hope most of you, like me, have been cautious, actively raising cash and adding hedges already to prepare for this downturn. I got a bit bearish earlier this year and have been quite cautious ever since. The title of this article that […]
Playbook for the Fed cycle
CNBC reports: Stocks ripped higher on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said interest rates are close to neutral, a change in tone from remarks the central bank chief made nearly two months ago. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 617.70 points, or 2.5 percent, to 25,366.43, posting its biggest one-day gain since March 26. The […]
Trade Alert: And a playbook for into year-end
Remember a couple days ago when the DJIA bounced 500 points and I’d mentioned that if you’d been losing sleep when stocks had been crushed down in a straight line last week that you probably should lighten up? Well, today the DJIA was down 500 points and the bounce is already gone. I’ve outlined my […]
Cannabis Bubble Playbook, Instagram Exits, Pearl Jam and lots of stock talk
Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat where we cover things like my playbook for The Cannabis Bubble, how Verizon will generate growth from 5G and much more. Q. Shall make use of Cannabis bubble somehow, like we do with crypto? You have said, that you were bullish on it. A. All things […]
Analysis, patience, playbook and objectivity make magic
Look at this from the Trading With Cody Chat Room: “Being a banker in Wall Street, I’ve tried every single strategy you can imagine in my over 25 years in banking. I’ve only made money consistently since I started to follow Cody’s strategy. And I say strategy because his real magic is not solely in […]
The playbook is playing out: Facebook’s finally getting closer to bottoming
With Facebook FB now at $150, down $40 (more than 20%) from its highs, I do think that a LOT of the bad news is finally priced in. Not saying it’s about to go straight back up to its highs, but I do think this is probably getting closer to a bottom. I’d been cautious […]
Pre-IPOs, Cryptocurrency playbook, PANW, and my family too
Here’s part 2 of 2 of the transcript to this week’s Live Trading With Cody Q&A Chat. Q: When visiting the bay area you mentioned connecting with VC’s, startup’s, etc. Have you considered pursuing direct investments in companies like Palantair, Lyft, Uber, SpaceX, etc.? Cody: For my own personal funds, not necessarily. I’ve had offers […]
Trade Alert: Market / Fed playbook and a tranche buy
Interesting from Rev Shark and old friend Brian Reynolds: “‘A normal day in February would see investors buy $4-5 billion of new corporate bonds. Yesterday, they bought over $19 billion. That activity pushed new purchases of corporates over the quarter-trillion level for only the sixth time in the first two months of a year.’ This […]
Cody Kiss & Tell: Bailouts, Fed playbook, market direction & more
Q. Cody, is there any chance for banks or any too-big-to-fail corporations defaulting on oil loans and begging government for bailout ? A. I was just talking about this idea when I had a drink with John Carney from the WSJ and also when I had coffee with Todd Harrison from Minyanville in NYC this week — […]
Morning notes plus Zika Virus analysis and playbook
Employment and jobs numbers come in about as expected — some strength but not really strong. I think most data points and analysis point to the Fed still going back and cutting rates and/or creating new forms of QE this year and I don’t find that set -up very bullish. LinkedIn ($LNKD) and Tableau Software ($DATA) […]
Trade Alert: AAPL options, FFIV, and reviewing the playbook
Well, many stocks, including (especially?) technology stocks have been smashed in the last few days. Let’s look at some charts for some perspective. Looking back over the last, say, three months, you can see that some of our biggest long positions have been up nicely, while I’ve also unfortunately ridden some losers lower: Our shorts, […]
Greece debt debacle: Analyis and playbook
My daughter Amaris is a strong warrior princess. She was born with Trisomy-13 and is still in the hospital — she’s stable and comfortable still, but we need her brain to tell her lungs to breath consistently so she can get off the ventilator. Thanks again for all your prayers and well-wishes. I’m going to […]