I write a lot about a certain California-based company that is poised to grow exponentially with the global smart device explosion over the next decade; a company that has loads of cash on the books and no debt, offers investors a dividend, and has great products, management and a history of innovation. A company with […]
Trade Alert – Short-term short trade (and trading strategies for the Fiscal-Cliff Dead Horse)
They’ve just about kicked this Fiscal-Cliff Dead Horse (FCDH) into the ground as deeply as they have repeatedly done so with the Endless Euro-Debt Crisis (EEDC), haven’t they? On the one hand, I’m sick of feeling like we’re being held hostage once again by a bunch of corporatist politicians and bureaucrats. On the other hand, […]
Trade Alert – Water, fruit and Beyonce
Here’s what we know — Wall Street’s expectations for Apple are definitely, FINALLY, lowered. That doesn’t mean that those expectations can’t go much lower, as we’ve hardly scratched the surface of the 27 buys and 21 strong buys out of the 57 total sellside analysts out there who cover the stock. But, if iPhone sales […]
Riding the bull: Trade Alert – Taking profits on the Dollar shorts and also on some Sandisk calls
Mornin’ y’all, and welcome back to the rodeo, where the bulls buck hard and only the best of the best can hold on til the buzzer. Our second largest position on the short side of our ledger, Dollar General, reported another round of dismal earnings and outlook and it’s down to the lowest levels its […]
Latest positions (and Trade Alert – A non-emotional bite)
You’re too deep in You can’t get out You’re just a poor girl in a rich man’s house Uh-hoo, uh-hoo-hoo, uh-hoo-hoo-hoo Uh-hoo, uh-hoo-hoo, uh-hoo-hoo-hoo Yeah, baby, I’m crying over you Don’t you know promises were never made to keep Just like the night, dissolve off into sleep I’ll be your savior, steadfast and true I’ll […]
Trade Alert – Two tech scale-ins and a thank you to our troops
A few days ago when Apple was up $70-$80 a share from where we’d most recently bought more AAPL calls, I trimmed some of them and reminded you guys: Remember when Apple was at $700 and I pleaded with you guys to remember how painful a random sell-off can be so that you would trim some? That pain is […]
Trade Alert and complete technical analysis for Facebook
Did we just see a blow-off top in Facebook this morning as it spiked another 3% to the highest levels its been in months? The stock has since faded and is up less than 1% as I type this which certainly begs the question of whether that morning rally was a blow-off top for the […]
Trade Alert – Sandy’s continued aftermath, PTSD, blessings and two trims
I gave a 50 minute speech to the Philadelphia Institute of Internal Auditors last Tuesday. I was probably more nervous about giving a speech to 600+ internal auditors than I was doing any national TV show. Out of my element, I guess. I talked about no amount of quantitative easing, targeted tax tricks, subsidies or […]
Trade Alert – Thanking some gives and booking some face gains
Let’s thank some gives today as we head into the holiday weekend. I’d mentioned the other day that Turkey Week is usually a mostly-up-market/bullish time, and such seems to be the case so far this week. Facebook’s finally back to where it was after the most recent quarterly report. That was a classic set-up for […]
Trade Alert – Bidding below for fruit but not booking the Facebook yet
Yesterday I wrote this: Apple’s slow bleed of death continues — can you believe it was at $350 earlier this year though? I’m waiting to add the next tranche until either the slow bleed of death stops or until we get a major capitulation by the longs on a single day’s decline of say 3% […]
Trade Alert – Eden’s Apple and more FB analysis
Facebook traded flat in the pre-market and then opened up about 2% above last night’s close and hasn’t looked back. There stock is up 12% in the closing hour. Nearly a billion shares have hit the market today, meaning that nearly $20 billion of equity hit which of course could have swamped the buyers out […]
Trade Alert – A tranche buy and an FB update
I do not fear computers. I fear the lack of them. – Isaac Asimov Yesterday I’d postulated that the Facebook lockup expiration might very well turn out to be a “Buy the news” event, and today the stock is up nearly 10% and about 15% since I stepped in to buy back our calls on Monday (still knock on wood). […]
Trade Alert – In 3-D
Long-time Revolution Investing subscribers know that my ranch was hard hit last summer by the Little Bear fire that raged through central New Mexico in June. I was incredibly fortunate that my home, loved-ones and animals were unhurt, but it was nonetheless very traumatic. Today, I started smelling smoke again, after reading a lengthy, detailed expose […]
Trade Alert – More scaling, but don’t be a daredevil
Skill is successfully walking a tightrope over Niagara Falls. Intelligence is not trying. – Anonymous Bulls got no mojo. The selling pressure continues to swamp the bids and the markets just keep fading lower. Apple’s down after trying to open higher, and I think we’ve got to let it sit for now before doing another set of tranche buying. And […]
Trade Alert – Monsters and fruit
You’ve probably heard the old saying from Keynes that “The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.” Here’s a snapshot of how irrational things probably are right now and why we need to continue scaling into our highest-rated stocks like Apple. Monster Drinks reported a horrific quarter last night, missing the topline […]
Trade Alert – Two buys into the panic
It is better to be beautiful than to be good. But… it is better to be good than to be ugly. – Oscar Wilde Ugly day post-election. Oh, and there’s panic about the EU debt crisis in the headlines again. Shocker, eh? The DJIA opened down 100 plus and has faded another 150 since then. Apple’s being […]
Trade Alert – Letting go of a tree and updated analysis on F5
Selling A Router Stock and Looking for Greener Pastures Back in September I heard from a lot of you who had dreaded trimming some of your shares in Apple before the release of the iPhone 5 and because the stock had continued ascending you felt like you had “missed the top.” What I said at […]
(Small) Trade Alert – Election markets analysis and the answer to who’s more scared
Election election election. Every headline, every markets analysis, every supposed economic analysis, every segment on CNBC are all about the election and how its might or might not affect all of the above. Will the election be a tie? Hanging chads! Electronic voting fraud. Voter harassment. This is actually the one quite clearly bearish outcome to […]
The economic, trading and investing impact of Hurricane Sandy (And Trade Alert – Trimming some LPS puts)
First things first. My thoughts and prayers go out to all those affected by Hurricane Sandy. As human beings, that is the first thing on all our minds and hearts. As professionals, we have to analyze what it means to our portfolios, if anything. There’s an old economic theorem about the “Broken Window” and it […]
Trade Alert – How to play the Windows 8 roll out
Critical mass means that your business has reached a point where it has enough users and/or developers that your business kicks into a virtuous feedback loop where more users bring in more developers and more offerings from developers bring in more users. A winner-takes-all market is when only one or two or maybe three providers […]