I’ve written before about how people tho…
I’ve written before about how people thought I was nuts when I was writing about how I was buying Apple at $7 per share back in 2003, even though at that time, as I put it for my subsribers, “Apple was trading for less than the cash it had on the balance sheet, making it so cheap it’s ridiculous.”
My long-time friend and mentor, James Altucher, who was a subsriber of mine back (and still is!) when I was buying and holding Apple from 2003 on, asked me on Gchat today what my three biggest bull points for Apple are right now. James had earlier this week has joined me as a Marketwatch columnist explaining how Apple could get to a $2 trillion market cap or about $2000 a share in coming years. He wanted my take on how Apple could get there.
So my answer, and the discussion that followed which he finished by writing that, indeed “Apple’s so cheap it’s ridiculous”, are below:
1. Apple’s trading at less than 8x next year’s $30 per share in earnings when you include the $50BB plus in net cash the company has.
2. The products are the highest quality out there and nobody can catch that, not google, not softee, not sony not nobody
James: I agree on both those
3. The platform that Apple has locked people into is the key….almost everybody who is now using iTunes will still be using iTunes in five years, the people nurtured on iPhones 1-5 will still be using iPhones #15-20 in 10 year, and everybody using facetime will still be using facetime, and you’ll be doing so much more inside that platform/eco-system that apple’s created. And that’s the real key. And it’s not about 2011 anyway. It’s about 2021 when you live surrounded by iOS in your home, your car, your office, your gadgets.
James: That’s great stuff. Thank you, you should publish that on TradingWithCody.com and for your blog too. Next question is, how many ipads will be sold by 2015?
Me: More importantly than how many iPads in five years from now, the question is what will apple come out with between now and 2015 that will creatively destroy as it canniablizes the iPad market. Remember what they did to their iPod? To their iPhone 1? They just ran right by themselves with increasingly better products that nobody else can catch. So too will it be with tablets in coming years.
James: I think nothing. I think ipad is it. iPad’s game over. It willl get flatter and faster. Maybe apple tv will merge with ipad.
me: I think in five years we’ll have apple ios credit card holographic projector phones. My credit card will beam my movie on a 109″ HD screen in my living room or 3D HD all around me in my bedroom or while I’m out camping I will just have it project an iPad form factor.
James: Apple minus cash is less than 8x next year’s earnings. They are so cheap its ridiculous.
me: Yup, I’ve been saying that same thing, as you know, for eight years now. And it’s still true even though the stock has risen some 4500% since the first time I wrote that. Thanks, man.