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Trade Alert – Short-term short trade (and trading strategies for the Fiscal-Cliff Dead Horse)

December 18, 2012 by Cody Willard Leave a Comment

They’ve just about kicked this Fiscal-Cliff Dead Horse (FCDH) into the ground as deeply as they have repeatedly done so with the Endless Euro-Debt Crisis (EEDC), haven’t they?

On the one hand, I’m sick of feeling like we’re being held hostage once again by a bunch of corporatist politicians and bureaucrats.

On the other hand, we have made a ton of money over the last couple years by buying whenever the markets and media panic over the EEC and selling the subsequent relief spikes, so why not just accept the market as it is and since we know that the impact of any FCDH is meaningless in the context of the ongoing trillion dollar wealth transfers to the Too Big To Fail/Too Big to Jail banks, GE, News Corp, and all the other giant corporations endlessly begging, lobbying and propagandizing for ever more direct and indirect welfare, tax breaks, subsidies, below market loans, etc. So let these damn corrupt powermongers from the Republican/Democrat Regime at every level of the government continue to spend as much of our and our future generation’s money on blowing up asset bubbles and ensuring record corporate earnings and margins and share of GDP as they possibly can while they play their faked debt and deficit concerns with these repeated updates, speeches, and leaks about the FCDH, the EEDC, social welfare programs, and so on.

We’ll just have to continue to follow our playbook of buying the panics and selling the spikes as long as the asset bubble blowing business booms like it is. Stay flexible though, because these Republican/Democrat Regime Corporatists and their cohorts around the world are hellbent on pushing these markets, the economies, these societies, and these citizens who will eventually pay for all these wars, bailouts, and other wealth transfers upwards til they truly break. Even if that breaking point has nothing to do with the FCDH.

Sigh.

As for trades, I am shorting some RIMM common stock as it’s up 100% in a straight line, has started to crack and will report its earnings on Thursday after the close. The thesis being that expectations are now high heading into the RIMM report and that there’s absolutely no way that the company could possibly report anything tangibly positive. The risk is that the company foolishly hypes the next quarter’s numbers to the point that the bears and shorts like me have to squeeze themselves out as the longs and bulls decide to gamble on the future, hyped or not.

Just a trade, and I plan on being out either Friday or early next week regardless of whether I win or lose on this one.

 

Related posts:

Trade Alert: Trimming some Amazon
Trade Alert: New basket of security stocks
Trade Alert - Playbook on Facebook and Latest Positions
Trade Alert - Ciena tranche buy and the regulators actually listened to me!
Trade Alert: Stay tuned, be cool, be opportunistic
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Filed Under: Trade Alert

Disclosure: At the time of publication, the firm in which Willard is a partner and/or Mr. Willard had positions in some of the stocks mentioned above although positions can change at any time and without notice.

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This does not constitute an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation of any security or cryptocurrency or token any other product or service by Cody Willard or any other third party. Furthermore, nothing in this is intended to provide tax, legal, or investment advice and nothing in this should be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any investment or security or cryptocurrency or token or to engage in any investment strategy or transaction. You are solely responsible for determining whether any investment, investment strategy, security or related transaction is appropriate for you based on your personal investment objectives, financial circumstances and risk tolerance. You should consult your business advisor, attorney, or tax and accounting advisor regarding your specific business, legal or tax situation.

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