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Trading With Cody

Long-term Revolution Investments and Real-time Trades from Cody Willard


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Trade Alert: Snapping SNAP and Gating Lion’s Gate

December 5, 2017 by Cody Willard

Long steady rallies that suddenly become more volatile can portend a pullback. Look at this year-to-date daily chart chart:

See that crazy spike up at the end there that is followed by the two other relatively large red moves? I continue to think the market is set-up for some near-term weakness, though I do not think we’re about to crash or that the the overall Bubble-Blowing Bull Market is over just yet.

I want to make a couple moves in the portfolio today, raising a little cash. First up, I’m going to sell my SNAP into today’s big pop, locking in a small gain. The company has just continued to struggle and I think we have plenty of exposure to social media with our Twitter and Facebook positions.

I’m also going to go ahead and let go of my Lion’s Gate stock for now. I want to raise a little cash, I want to reduce the number of longs in the portfolio and I worry that it has gotten to be a bit late in the bubbled demand cycle for TV/Movies by Netflix, Apple, Amazon et al.

It’s been a great earnings season for our Trading With Cody portfolio, it’s been a great year for our Trading With Cody portfolio and it’s been a great seven years for our Trading With Cody portfolio.

Our Trading With Cody longs are +13% on average since each reported earnings in the last few weeks. Our short positions have fallen 17% since each reported earnings.

94% of longs posted EPS in-line or beat. 82% of longs posted revenue beat.

100% of our shorts missed revenue estimates 50% of shorts missed EPS estimates.

We have several of our stocks that have rallied 300% or more in the last few years.

Most of my subscribers report being up more than 50% in their own stock portfolio this year and most of my long-term subscribers report have tripled their stock portfolio in the last few years.

Meanwhile, CNBC calls hedge fund managers who eked out a 20% return this year as “hedge fund stars” because most hedge funds LOST money in 2017. The S&P 500 Index was up 15%, more than double the benchmark HFRI hedge fund index, which was up 7% percent through October, its best annual return since at least 2013.

We have a LOT to be proud of but 2018 is a new year and I won’t be resting on my laurels. Let’s aim to do it again and at the same time, keep our heads about us and stay vigilant and increasingly defensive.

Thanks for being a subscriber to Trading With Cody. I’ll keep doing everything I can to keep the outperformance going…

Related posts:

Trade Alert: Names To Nibble
Trade Alert - Trading one tech supplier for another (and some updated analysis on Apple)
Trade Alert - Forced to play the game (and a flip & a trim)
Trade Alert: The tiniest but biggest revolution ever?
Trades for the week of May 7th through May 11th
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Filed Under: Trade Alert

Disclosure: At the time of publication, the firm in which Willard is a partner and/or Mr. Willard had positions in some of the stocks mentioned above although positions can change at any time and without notice.

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This does not constitute an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation of any security or cryptocurrency or token any other product or service by Cody Willard or any other third party. Furthermore, nothing in this is intended to provide tax, legal, or investment advice and nothing in this should be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any investment or security or cryptocurrency or token or to engage in any investment strategy or transaction. You are solely responsible for determining whether any investment, investment strategy, security or related transaction is appropriate for you based on your personal investment objectives, financial circumstances and risk tolerance. You should consult your business advisor, attorney, or tax and accounting advisor regarding your specific business, legal or tax situation.

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