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Trade Alert: A flexible surprise about JD

February 20, 2019 by Cody Willard Leave a Comment

I spent some time on the phone with the legendary tech analyst, Gene Munster, Monday afternoon. He’s a Revolutionary kind of thinker who used to cover Apple and other tech stocks for Piper Jaffrey for many years and these days he a VC shop called Loup Ventures.

I was a bit shocked when he said perhaps his favorite stock right now might be JD. I told him I had puts on JD because I figured that the Chinese government was still going to punish the CEO for the embarrassment that came from his rape charges in the US a couple months ago. He countered that point with the fact that the Chinese government is more likely in a “screw the US” state of mind. Good point.

He told me that the stock is undervalued and that in his company’s surveys of consumers in China that JD almost always comes up. I told him that I never like to invest in Chinese stocks because I don’t trust the Chinese accounting system, enforcement system or the Communist Autocracy that it still is.

But, I asked, perhaps the fact that there are going to be more than a billion middle class consumers in China, hundreds of millions of whom are being lifted out of poverty in a form of a middle class, and maybe that’s a reason to own a least one or two Chinese stocks.

He agreed with my concerns but always reiterated my conclusion — I should own a couple Chinese stocks.

So I’m being flexible here. I’ve actually gone out and bought some JD common here. I’ve still got some JD puts so I’m hedged on the position either way right now. But I plan to let the put options simply expire if they’re out of the money when the time comes and I’ll hold onto some JD common and perhaps buy another tranche of it in coming days or weeks.

PS. I just got back to the office 20 minutes ago after seeing Amaris arrive at home at lunch and started writing this up and now I notice I’m running late on the writing here. Yes, we got Amaris home today. She soon fell asleep. I ran home to bring lunch and help out a little bit as they arrived at lunch time. I understand what it means to be humbled by all the prayers and support that so many people gave to us the last sixty days. I should be able to come in on the weekend to some writing and analysis for Trading With Cody for the first time since the hedge fund launched 51 days ago too.


Related posts:

Trade Alert - Social add and Bottom-up analysis on our long positions
Searching For The Space Revolution Stocks That Will Be Worth A Trillion Dollars (Trade Alert)
Trade Alert - Locking in a couple 300% plus gains
Trade Alert: Correction but trade stands
Trade Alert - Tale of two techs: One hyped buy and one hyped trim
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Filed Under: Trade Alert

Disclosure: At the time of publication, the firm in which Willard is a partner and/or Mr. Willard had positions in some of the stocks mentioned above although positions can change at any time and without notice.

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This does not constitute an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation of any security or cryptocurrency or token any other product or service by Cody Willard or any other third party. Furthermore, nothing in this is intended to provide tax, legal, or investment advice and nothing in this should be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any investment or security or cryptocurrency or token or to engage in any investment strategy or transaction. You are solely responsible for determining whether any investment, investment strategy, security or related transaction is appropriate for you based on your personal investment objectives, financial circumstances and risk tolerance. You should consult your business advisor, attorney, or tax and accounting advisor regarding your specific business, legal or tax situation.

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