Cody Willard

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Trade Alert: Flow into the market’s ebb

Over the last five weeks, I’ve been to NYC twice and visited Austin and Las Vegas too. With the novel coronavirus still growing in the US, I’m going to stop traveling for at least the next four weeks. I got back from NYC early this morning and am

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Trade Alert: Seeing more trading opportunities in this crazy market

Was it just yesterday that I wrote: “I’m going to trim down a little bit of my longs into this huge rally and add a few more index puts and rebuild the index shorts a bit when the market rallies like it did today.” Well, this morning, the markets

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Portfolio Strategies For The Kurzweil Singulary Rate of Change Market

Holy crap, how about that move off the bottoms when we were buying Friday??? The extreme moves in the markets and stock prices and economic activities lately remind me to use my theory of my Kurzweil Singularity Rate of Change which I define as: What happens if it all works

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Recession Chances, V Or U Rebound, Is This A Bear Market, And More

Quite a rebound from this morning’s panicky lows where we were buying/nibbling/covering, but the week isn’t over yet, is it? Be careful out there. Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat. Q. Cody: what are the chances we slide into

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Trade Alert: Here’s the playbook

It’s another ugly open, and everybody expects the close to be even worse, since they assume nobody wants to buy before the weekend. I think people were thinking that yesterday already and that means maybe everybody who wanted to sell before the weekend already has. Good thing we aren’

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Trade Alert: Getting a little longer as the market panics

Fear is palpable. Panic is in the air. Stock markets down 10% in a week. Headlines blaring fearful news. Time to nibble. Time to cover some shorts. With the DJIA down another 800 points today as I type this, I’m covering 15-20% of most of my short index hedges

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What The Headlines Will Say About Coronavirus In A Month

The DJIA tried to rally and got up a full 450 points…before falling 600 points from that level and is now down 150 points as I write this. Even as I’d been so cautious and defensive and I’d warned repeatedly about how the market should not be

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Trade Alert: Nibbling, covering and being cool when others panic

Well, we’d spent the last two or three weeks trimming, selling and hedging to try to prepare for the kind of sell-off the markets are now going through. I’m kicking myself for not having pulled more triggers on short ideas with China’s major trading partners, as I’

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Why aren’t economists/traders worried about COVID-19?, Bitcoin’s a real thing, Gold’s next move and much more

I had two main takeaways from the panel I hosted at the CFA Austin annual dinner where the topic was The US and China: When Two Global Economies Collide: 1. Nobody on the panel seemed to be very concerned about COVID-19 and the potential longer-term market/economic ramifications that might

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Remain Cautious: Apple blames COVID-19 for miss

Happy President’s Day. Apple says coronavirus effects will cause revenues to fall short of guidance That’s not good news, but we were quite preparing for this weren’t we? Also, we’ll have to see just how big the market reaction will be to this news tomorrow. Futures

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COVID 19, Stocks, Gold, Bitcoin (and Trade Alert: Trim some SPCE!)

Before we jump into the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat, I’ll just mention that it’s not normal to buy a stock and have it go up 300% in three months. (TSLA) and (SPCE) are literally up 4x from their lows last year. You’

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Strategies For A Bubble-Blowing Bull Market Rally On Steroids

Gravity can’t keep me in place, Gravity won’t let them escape, Gravity still laughs in my face. – The Muddy Souls What’s driving this latest rally that’s gone into overdrive in our long-going Bubble-Blowing Bull Market? Let’s analyze and strategize. It’s essentially a gravitational force