Here's the transcript to this week's live video Q&A chat, organized by trends/markets/politics, then strategies and individual stocks. Subscriber: Thanks for all your writing these last number of years. You're into revolutionary stocks, and also of course stocks that have great business models. It seems like a lot of your stocks are in a really good position right here. … [Read more...] about Coronavirus Can Benefit Revolutionary Companies, China Needs Friends, Disney+ Saved DIS, and More
Trade Alert: Buying CRSP (Plus Markets Analysis)
The markets are gyrating following a path of least resistance lower for now but I wouldn't necessarily try to bet that these trends continue. On the one hand, the economy has been terrible for a month and is going to get even worse over the next two weeks as lock downs grow across the globe before it might possibly start recovering. Small businesses are going to be in big … [Read more...] about Trade Alert: Buying CRSP (Plus Markets Analysis)
Corona-Nomics, Detailed Hedging Strategies, How Tesla Just Won, And Everything Else You Need To Know
Here's the transcript to the wide, wide ranging discussion over video conference I had with the Trading With Cody community on Friday. I've organized the questions according to topic, starting with economy/markets (ie, corona-nomics), then strategy/trades and then specific stocks. Be sure to read the last few paragraphs where I finish us up on some positive, exciting … [Read more...] about Corona-Nomics, Detailed Hedging Strategies, How Tesla Just Won, And Everything Else You Need To Know
Deep Thoughts About The Coronavirus Economic and Market Ramifications
I'm going to riff on a bunch of related deep thoughts and than summarize them all up at the end with strategy and trading ideas. (Let's do a Google talk tomorrow (Friday) at noon for this week's Live Q&A Chat at 12pm ET. We're going to jump on the video conferencing train and use Google Hangout Meetings. You can join the video chat at … [Read more...] about Deep Thoughts About The Coronavirus Economic and Market Ramifications
Strategies For A Coronavirus-Clouded Crystal Ball
The economic underpinnings of our society are based on revenues generated from people doing things, consuming things and being together. We aren't doing things, we aren't consuming like we did a month ago and we certainly aren't being together. The NBA is thinking about not paying player salaries after April 1. How many mortgages, boats, cars and employees are going to be let … [Read more...] about Strategies For A Coronavirus-Clouded Crystal Ball
Don’t Ask The Government For Help; Who’s Ackman; Can DJIA go to 10,000 and more
Let's get started early here. Ask me anything for the next hour. Q. Cody, if the USA turn out to be Italy or worse which is probable, I imagine the market will have a bid negative reaction to full hospitals and the terrible stories, no? A. Probably, but it depends on where the markets are at the time that such a reality were to exist. In other words, the markets might end … [Read more...] about Don’t Ask The Government For Help; Who’s Ackman; Can DJIA go to 10,000 and more
Stick With The Game Plan
Another day, another big move in the markets. At least initially to the higher side. I'm sticking with the game plan, doing a little trimming and reshorting some indices to keep hedged. I'm writing up a bunch of analysis about what we should expect for the economy and the markets next, including just how bad the 2nd quarter of economic activity is going to be but how we need … [Read more...] about Stick With The Game Plan
The Difference Between Down And Up (And I’m Trimming This Spike As Planned)
Up, no, now down! Wait, up and up more. Wait down, it's a crash. It's another crash. Wait, it's a big rally! Can you tell the difference between the up and down days? Well, today brings us just exactly the kind of insane bounce of 10-30% in some of our names into which I told you I'd trim these positions when I sent out the Trade Alert that I was buying them...just … [Read more...] about The Difference Between Down And Up (And I’m Trimming This Spike As Planned)
Don’t doubt the USA or mankind’s ability to prosper
We're living through a crash. We might have just lived through a crash. But we might still be in the process of living through a crash. The markets hate confusion. The markets can't discount future cash flows if nobody has any idea what future cash flows will look like post-Coronavirus Crisis time. We don't even know at this point if there will be a post-Coronavirus Crisis … [Read more...] about Don’t doubt the USA or mankind’s ability to prosper
Economic Depression Is Possible, But Not Likely
Before the Kurzweil Rate of Change sped things up, here are the generally accepted definitions an economic recession vs. an economic depression: A recession is the contraction phase of the business cycle. The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) describes it this way: 'A recession is a period of decline in total output, income, employment and trade, usually lasting … [Read more...] about Economic Depression Is Possible, But Not Likely