Our markets, if not our actual economy, are being driven by tweets, tariffs, trade wars and Trump ("The Four T's", copyright Cody Willard 2019 haha). Trump tweets, especially the ones about tariffs and trade wars, are driving our markets, at least intraday, if not our actual economy more often than not lately. We have to strive to be objective in our analysis of his tweets, … [Read more...] about Tariffs, Trade Wars, Tweets and Trump: The 4 T’s driving our economy and markets
Trade Alert: The wild August market gyrations continue
All it took was yet another tweet tit for a tariff tat to get the markets are worried about The Great Trade War of the 21st Century. Is the trade war going to create a US recession? Can it be resolved before one hits? I'll write more about this stuff this weekend, but I wanted to get this Trade Alert out while the markets are in panicky sell-off mode. I'm covering a little … [Read more...] about Trade Alert: The wild August market gyrations continue
Telsa-like intuition, The Roku of Food, Pot might finally be a buy and a Trade Alert
Here's the transcript for this week's Live Q&A Chat. Q. When looking to build a core position to hold with conviction for many years please describe your thought process. Is intuition a significant part of that? A. Interesting you should ask that question. I just wrote this in my most recent hedge fund investor update: "Lately, I've been reading a biography of … [Read more...] about Telsa-like intuition, The Roku of Food, Pot might finally be a buy and a Trade Alert
Markets headed higher still? The Kurtzweil Singularity Rate of Change
At one point on August 1, the Nasdaq 100 was above 8000. Heading into August, I got a little bit bearish and highlighted the SMH in particular as a short. (Trade Alert: TXN pops, semi’s look ready to drop (and a change to my TV schedule)). Two trading days later, it was down nearly 650 points (-7%) to 7356. Into those panicky lows on August 5, I turned rather bullish … [Read more...] about Markets headed higher still? The Kurtzweil Singularity Rate of Change
Trade Alert: The algo’s and media suddenly fear Recession
This morning, apparently the "real" yield curve inverted. Not that fake yield curve that inverted a few times already, in which you might have made the mistake of thinking that the 30-year Treasury or the 3-month Treasury might be important. No, apparently, it was only the 10 year and the 2 year that matter as inverted indicators. And as every single outlet I read today … [Read more...] about Trade Alert: The algo’s and media suddenly fear Recession
Latest Positions with quotes from Nikola Tesla
"There is something frightening about the universe when we consider that only our senses of sound and sight make it beautiful. Just think, the universe is darker than the darkest ink; colder than the coldest ice and more silent than a silent tomb with all the bodies rushing through it at terrific speeds. What an awe-inspiring picture, isn't it? Yet it is our brain that gives … [Read more...] about Latest Positions with quotes from Nikola Tesla
Day trading, 3 baggers, Tesla Solar and more
I'm doing some trimming, just maintenance. Will send out a Trade Alert after the chat. Too much to do! Here's the transcript from this week's Live Q&A. Q. Last week, I felt like a day trader and we did pretty well. Any new short term ideas? A. You bring up an important theme here for me to hit on. That is, the markets got really volatile a couple weeks ago and as … [Read more...] about Day trading, 3 baggers, Tesla Solar and more
Trade Alert: Trimming into this big rally
I'm getting a bit dizzy with these wild swings in the markets but at least we've had some nice success using the swings to our advantage. Just yesterday, I wrote: "It’s been an absolutely wild week and a half of action. Another swift sell-off from the highs *checks charts* uh, two trading days ago. I’m selling a few index puts here, unloading a little bit of protection. … [Read more...] about Trade Alert: Trimming into this big rally
Trade Alert: Bizarro World Stock Market
Just two trading days ago, I wrote: "It’s been an absolutely wild week of action. Nice bounce from the lows *checks charts* uh, yesterday morning. I’m nibbling a few index puts here, reloading a little bit of protection. Maybe trim a little bit of the names we nibbled on during the panic *checks charts* uh, two days ago that have bounced, such as AAPL, JD, UBER, etc a few … [Read more...] about Trade Alert: Bizarro World Stock Market
Trade Alert: SEDG’s up 500%, Reloading puts, A little trimming
It's been an absolutely wild week of action. Nice bounce from the lows *checks charts* uh, yesterday morning. I’m nibbling a few index puts here, reloading a little bit of protection. Maybe trim a little bit of the names we nibbled on during the panic *checks charts* uh, two days ago that have bounced, such as AAPL, JD, UBER, etc a few others that I’d nibbled on during the … [Read more...] about Trade Alert: SEDG’s up 500%, Reloading puts, A little trimming