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Predictions and playbook for the near-, mid- and longer-term (Or: The Great Global Trade War of the 21st Century is STILL not bullish)

A lot of investors and pundits are starting to freak out. Meanwhile, I hope most of you, like me, have been cautious, actively raising cash and adding hedges already to prepare for this downturn. I got a bit bearish earlier this year and have been quite cautious ever since. The

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Trade Alert: Taking profits on some index puts

It’s sure gotten a bit panicky out there today as the Russell 2000 small cap index makes new lows today. The Nasdaq, S&P 500 and the DJIA are all just about 1-3% away from their intraday lows in October. There are probably a lot of algorithms and

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WiNR Ratio Algorithm Analysis of Our Positions (while The Great Trade War gets real)

It’s finally dawning on traders and investors that The Great Trade War of the 21st Century (I should have copyrighted that the first time I used it a year ago) is actually real and the Fog of War casualties that I’ve been warning about are starting to arrive.

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FB, AMZN, NVDA in five years + Crypto questions galore + Oil + more

Despite the bounce yesterday, I’d still be careful out there in trying to catch a bottom and I wouldn’t chase these stocks this morning. Here’s the transcript for this week’s Live Q&A Chat. Q. Feet go fire where are FB and AMZN trading in

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Algorithms, programs and processes for the new hedge fund

Starting January 1, I’ll be off the races in my new hedge fund. And I’ve got some important new tricks up my sleeve. After spending more than twenty years developing my approach to investing and trading, I’ve found that each proposed trade/investment (equity, options, cryptocurrencies, crowdfunding,

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Playbook for the Fed cycle

CNBC reports: Stocks ripped higher on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said interest rates are close to neutral, a change in tone from remarks the central bank chief made nearly two months ago. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 617.70 points, or 2.5 percent, to 25,

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The Fed, Stock Markets, The Fed, Cryptos, Christmas Songs and The Fed

What if everything you read and hear about the Federal Reserve, rate cycles and the stock market is all wrong? It probably is. It sure has been for decades. So how many money managers, hedge fund managers and home investors have told me that the stock market is in big

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The next 1, 5, 10 and 50 years: How and why society will create a future of cryptocurrencies

The Great Cryptocurrency Crash is in full bloom now with bitcoin down almost 80% from its highs back in December. Nobody’s asking me about bitcoin or cryptocurrencies any more, unlike four months ago when everybody in the Chat Room, at The Money Show, at CES Las Vegas was asking

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Subscribers agree: It’s panicky action

Here’s the transcript to this week’s Live Q&A Chat. I’ll be around tomorrow if the markets get crushed again. Q. Good morning Cody, how do you view the year end? There is a lot of negative headlines around and our tech stocks being beaten to

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Trade Alert: Trimming some of our index puts into another panicky open

Stocks crushed again this morning. Here’s what I’m going to do. With the Nasdaq down another 2.5% this morning, I’m going to sell about 1/3 of my SPY and QQQ puts. And that’s it for now. Lots of great Q&A from our

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Keep the hedges on, Verizon is the ultra-contra-stock, Chat tomorrow 9am ET

The markets didn’t trade like they knew it was a holiday-shortened trading week and that Santa is supposed to be riding to the rescue. I did a tiny bit of nibbling into the panicky sell-off action today but I’m far from being aggressive about buying — I still own

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Trade Alert: Stocks crushed. Two nibbles and locking in profits on the AMD puts

Stocks are getting crushed with the Nasdaq down more than 3% on the day as I type this at 11:25am ET. I spent almost an hour on the phone with a very insightful source who runs sales at one of our smaller cap Revolution Investments. Then I hung up