Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat. Q. Cody, Good morning and hope all is well with the you and family. Couple of weeks before you started adding VZ and were less convinced about AT&T. With the recent reports do you have different suggestion? A. I’m not a fan of what AT&T has […]
Some Stocks Have Already Bottomed, But It’s Still Precarious
Stocks are down pre-market after huge up moves again yesterday, coming on top of the big up move we saw Monday which came after the big panicky sell-off last week. Fear finally got too extreme and the markets got set up nicely for at least a short-term bounce. As I’d noted late last week: “With […]
Trade Alert: A Basket Of Promising-But-Hated VC-Like Stocks, Covering Lots of Shorts
With markets touching their crashed lows from a few weeks ago and with many, many stocks at new 52-week lows and with so many names down big and so few names up at all for days on end… well, we’re finally getting some real fear built into the markets, though I’m not sure that excess […]
What Can We Learn From The Headlines: EV BKs, Central Bank Follies, Space Trillions(!)
Let’s run through some recent headlines and see if we learn anything: We’ll start off with a headline that we’ve been (sadly, contrarian-ily) needing to see in hopes that the markets can eventually start putting in a real, long-term bottom: Electric Last Mile Solutions Files For Chapter 7 Bankruptcy Jun 17, 2022 — In the voluntary petition […]
Finding The Next Apple
You’ve got your ball You’ve got your chain Tied to me tight tie me up again Who’s got their claws In you my friend Into your heart I’ll beat again – Dave Matthews Band Let’s update our numbers on the sell-off since I sent out the “Top 5 Reasons For A Sell-Off” post 22 days […]
Do We Have To Have A Catastrophic Ending To The Giant Bubbles That Popped?
In the ten days since I sent out the post called “Top 5 Reasons For A Market Sell-Off”, here’s an overview of the broader action in the markets: ARKK is down 10% Bitcoin is down 5% SMH is flat Nasdaq is 1% S&P 500 and DJIA and Russell 2000 (small cap index) are up 2%. […]
Top 5 Reasons For A Sell-Off, “Check The Crypto Scoreboard” Trash Talk, Etc
Here’s the transcript from this week’s Trading With Cody Live Q&A chat. Q. Last week you wrote: “My rough playbook here is to continue to trim and sell long positions into this rally and (have new names) to start scaling into, hopefully on a big broad sell off in coming days and weeks.” Is there […]
Trade Alert: Market’s Greed Is Back (And Getting Out Of PYPL)
If you were in pain at the recent lows when the markets were in free fall, now is the time to consider doing some trimming and some catching of your breath and making sure that you’re not too overly long and exposed to this now probably overbought market. Is crypto the tail that wags the […]
Trade Alert: What We Should Focus On Now
Everybody wants to be a Revolution Investor these days. It’s gotten crowded around here. Let’s step back and look around and get some perspective on how we make money long term. It’s not about looking around for 10% growers… It’s about much more than that. Strut pout, cut it out, all taking and no giving […]
Defense Revisited, What Can Go Wrong Already Is, The Next Market Leaders, Etc
Here’s the transcript from this week’s Trading With Cody Live Q&A chat. Q. You mention in write ups that you’ve been positioning us to be defensive over the past year. Is that true? I feel like all we’ve been doing is buying/nibbling all the way down. A. Here’s some of the many samples from the […]
Cash Levels, Anti-Trust Rumblings, Rescued Horses, And Lots Of Stocks
Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat. Q. I’m at ~33% cash. I have good positions in the top 5 in the playbook. Is there a percentage of cash you’re suggesting holding at this time? I’m more interested in DBA ETF stuff than values 3-5 years out. Thoughts? A. Cash levels should be […]
Bear Market Length, The Great Codini Says, Companies That Become Verbs And More
Here’s the transcript from this week’s Trading With Cody Live Q&A chat. Just an FYI, in the hedge fund, I nibbled some puts on SI, COIN and MSTR today, dated out to the next week or two and at prices both below and a bit above the market. Not something I recommend for most personal […]
Trade Alert: Nibbling Five Stocks Or So
Stop me if you’ve heard this before — it’s still ugly out there. We are now probably to the point where if a company comes out and says something is actually going better than expected (ZM doesn’t count, it was just fine but not a “things are better than we thought!” kind of quarter) the […]
Trade Alert: What About Valuations
Let’s keep doing real homework and being disciplined about our approach here. That’s where the real edge is over the long term. And that’s why we keep following the playbook. I came across this list of crashed big cap tech stocks on Twitter when I was hanging out feeding Amaris through her gtube while she […]
The Other Side Of The Bubble: Analysis For Stocks, Crypto And Bonds
I had a very insightful and fun trip to NYC last week. The crypto regulations event that I chaired was full of people who want clarity from the various regulating bodies. It seems clear to me, at least at this point, that the US is definitely, as usual, in the lead on this, mostly because […]
Trade Alert: The New Global Economic Paradigm Means New Risks (And Eventual Rewards)
I got back from Austin late last night after a very productive and even fun trip so Amaris could do five days of intensive neuromovement therapy. Here’s a shot of her at work learning to sit up on her own and otherwise figure out new movements. Now let’s move onto all this other stuff…. This […]
No Easy Answers When Globalization As We Know It Ends
First, I want to recognize the pain and suffering of the people of Ukraine and the threat to people near there. There is real human suffering happening and I pray it soon ends. My job is to analyze and help us navigate these things though. So… As a good friend of my just texted me […]
Trading Lessons From Recent Wars Aren’t Applicable This Time (Plus A Trade Alert: Here’s What I’m Buying Today)
I obviously don’t know the end game of the Russian Ukraine crisis, but I do know from history (and most recently from the 83 episodes I’ve listened to so far on the Russian Revolution on the Revolutions Podcast from Mike Duncan) that this is a centuries-old conflict that is currently re-flaring up. The West doesn’t […]
Mea Culpa, NFLX Trade Alert, Buying Strategies And Lots Of Stocks Q&A
Here’s the transcript from this week’s Trading With Cody Live Q&A chat. Q. In your macro US/world view, do you see inflation or deflation being the more significant medium to long term challenge? A. Inflation by far. In fact, I’m one of the rare economists who thinks that deflation is actually good for 90% of […]
Exclusive Reveal Of My New Space Cryptocurrency (And A Markets Note)
A quick note about the markets and the ugly action out there today before we jump into details about my new crypto. Well, the good news is that it’s nice to see valuations getting more reasonable and we are getting the opportunity to look for some nuggets of gold in the rubble of recent SPACs […]