Trade Alert

I spent some time on the phone with the legendary tech analyst, Gene Munster, Monday afternoon. He's a Revolutionary kind of thinker who used to cover Apple and other tech stocks for Piper Jaffrey for many years and these days he a VC shop called Loup Ventures. I was a bit shocked when he said perhaps his favorite stock right now might be JD. I told him I had puts on JD … [Read more...] about Trade Alert: A flexible surprise about JD

Will the relentless rally of 2019 ever relent? Certainly it will, but perhaps not until the bulls start feeling fully invested and the bears have capitulated. I'm not sure we're quite at either point yet but I also wouldn't jump all in and leverage up on the long side either. What can end the relentless rally of 2019? A sell-the-news reaction: to a China trade deal. … [Read more...] about Trade Alert: Five things that could end The Relentless Rally of 2019

Markets, markets, markets! Will they ever pullback? Will the bulls' fear of downside ever outweigh the fear of missing out? Yes, most certainly. But today might not be that day just yet. Here are a few questions to ponder about the stock market, if you're so inclined: Does anybody expect the stock markets will rocket through the all-time highs this year at some point? Does … [Read more...] about Trade Alert: Two stocks for The 5G Revolution basket

What do you know, a down day in the markets in 2019? Who'da thunk stocks could go down? I'm doing a little nibbling in the hedge fund on some of the existing names in the portfolio, including Twitter, Verizon, Facebook, Google and Amazon. No rush, just nibbling and what not around the edges. Here's a question that's been on my mind for the last week or so. Does market … [Read more...] about Trade Alert: Flip the market psychology script

A few earnings updates and trades to alert you about. VIAV results were very strong, guidance looks pretty fine. 5G is the growth engine there and the stock remains cheap if the 5G growth continues to accelerate as I expect it will. I'm adding another tranche of this one today today and probably a little more early next week. Consider this another buy Trade Alert on VIAV. I … [Read more...] about Trade Alert: One nibble, one trim, one sell

The markets keep rallying, the bears keep pushing their shorts, the markets keep rallying, the longs keep trying to get back into what they sold in December, and the markets keep rallying. Is it time for a pause? Maybe it's time for our poll. You can post your answer on Twitter (or just email your answer): Who's more scared right now, the bulls or the bears? I have … [Read more...] about Trade Alert: New 5G play and Who’s more scared

My gosh, it's been a wild month and two days. I woke my wife up at 4am on December 27 because Amaris wasn't breathing quite right and she went into the hospital 170 miles away that day. She's still in there and today they told it would be at least another two weeks before we get her home. And of course, I launched a hedge fund on January 1. The stock markets went straight up … [Read more...] about Trade Alert: Hospital, hedge fund, rallies and emotions

Amaris is such a princess warrior and the doctors say we should be able to bring her back home next week. She's off the ventilator and feeling much better. Here are most of the trades I’ve made lately in the hedge fund with a bit of commentary on each. (In alphabetical order.) Longs: I bought some ADTN. The stock’s down big from its highs, is now trading at about … [Read more...] about Trade Alerts: A couple 5G plays, a trim and two shorts

Amaris has been on the mend but she remains in ICU on a ventilator. Here are most of the trades I've made lately in the hedge fund -- this time with at least a sentence or two of explanation. Longs: I bought a starter position in AAOI. The stock's down big, is now trading at about 10-12x next year's probable earnings. Inventory issues might be fixed, margins would … [Read more...] about Trade Alert: Moves from the hedge fund (with commentary)