“There’s times are volatile There’s no room left for you Dead Dead and bloated There’s no room left for you There’s times are volatile” That’s Machine Head. Wild lyrics if you read the whole thing. It’s never boring around there these days. Recall that there have been times when the S&P 500 can go 100 […]
On Donkey, Dogs, And The Search For New Names
It’s been a pretty hard week or so at my house. Our sweet donkey, Marigold, passed away. My mutt, Cardi, that we rescued three months ago, was diagnosed with incurable cancer. Amaris didn’t feel well today. I was supposed to be in Vail this week at a hedge fund value ideas conference presenting Intel INTC […]
Trade Alert: What I’m Nibbling On Today PLUS Crypto Crash Prediction Updates
In case there was any lingering doubt, we are indeed on the Other Side Of The Great Bubble. I’ve been saying that we’ll have to carefully navigate, remaining cautious and defensive as this unwinding of all kinds of asset bubbles continues apace. That said… It probably won’t surprise you to hear that I’d rather be […]
Trade Alert: Crashy Market And Here’s How Inflation Will Play Out Over The Next Two Years
There’s only so much oil in the earth It’s a fact of life – for what it’s worth Something every little boy and girl should know since birth That there’s only so much oil in the ground There’s no excuse for our abuse No excuse for our abuse We just assume that we will not […]
Bear Market Length, The Great Codini Says, Companies That Become Verbs And More
Here’s the transcript from this week’s Trading With Cody Live Q&A chat. Just an FYI, in the hedge fund, I nibbled some puts on SI, COIN and MSTR today, dated out to the next week or two and at prices both below and a bit above the market. Not something I recommend for most personal […]
Notes On Stocks, Nvidia, Treasuries and Crypto
“We like to hop. We like to hop on top of Pop.” Up and down and all around, we go! Big bounce off the lows from Tuesday when I’d sent out the Trade Alert about buying some FB, ROKU, UBER, AMZN, GOOG, all of which have bounced 10% or so since then, as ha most of […]
Trade Alert: Nibbling Five Stocks Or So
Stop me if you’ve heard this before — it’s still ugly out there. We are now probably to the point where if a company comes out and says something is actually going better than expected (ZM doesn’t count, it was just fine but not a “things are better than we thought!” kind of quarter) the […]
Wild Market Moves Underscore Why We Trust The Playbook And Long-Term Analysis
Here’s something I started writing at the near-term bottom that the markets put in on Friday when I was working instead of even pretending to be on staycation as was the plan for last week. When the markets crashed on Wednesday, I basically called off my break although I did sneak in a round of […]
Remain Cautious As The Great Bubble Unwind Continues
Well, I’d said I’d send out a note from my wannabe staycation if things got crazy and here it is. It’s just relentless selling out there. Have I mentioned that we are most definitely on the OTHER side of what was a 13-year long Bubble-Blowing Bull Market? Indeed. I remain cautious and defensive overall, although […]
Fed BS, Fear Is Always Wrong, Roku Is The Anti-Netflix, ETH Vs Bitcoin, And Much More
Here’s the transcript from yesterday’s Live Q&A Chat over zoom. The markets have given back all of yesterday’s brief upside. Remember how I’ve been saying “This is a ‘No BS Market’.” Well, the Fed tried to BS everybody yesterday with their silly 50 bps raise yesterday. Rates are still way below where they should be […]
The Other Side Of The Bubble: Analysis For Stocks, Crypto And Bonds
I had a very insightful and fun trip to NYC last week. The crypto regulations event that I chaired was full of people who want clarity from the various regulating bodies. It seems clear to me, at least at this point, that the US is definitely, as usual, in the lead on this, mostly because […]
Be Patient And Don’t Stress — But Be Disciplined
Sometimes I get so tense but I can’t speed up the time, But you know love there’s one more thing to consider Said “woman take it slow and things will be just fine”, You and I’ll just use a little patience — Guns n’ Roses It didn’t take but two days for the fear to […]
Covid Fears At Home As Markets Find A Bounce
It’s never easy around here. It seems that my oldest daughter, Lyncoln, was exposed to Covid when she spent the night with her cousin at my parents’ house Saturday night. She’s now come down with symptoms and although the rapid tests have been coming out negative, I am taking her to get a more accurate […]
Trading Lessons From Recent Wars Aren’t Applicable This Time (Plus A Trade Alert: Here’s What I’m Buying Today)
I obviously don’t know the end game of the Russian Ukraine crisis, but I do know from history (and most recently from the 83 episodes I’ve listened to so far on the Russian Revolution on the Revolutions Podcast from Mike Duncan) that this is a centuries-old conflict that is currently re-flaring up. The West doesn’t […]
Trade Alert: Buying Unity U, Nibbling On Some Old Favorites Too
I’m not in any rush, but I am doing a little bit of nibbling on some of our names that have been crushed lately. I’ve been nibbling some of the following common stocks, just trying to take advantage of this panic since we got so defensive before the panic started: U Unity (New, old name. […]
Economy And Markets Analysis: This Ain’t Goldilocks Anymore
The markets sure got ugly last week. While I continue to think that the biotech sector has some interesting opportunities that I’m working on and have started buying a couple new biotech names lately, I’m not in any rush to load up on stocks even as the pullback has kicked in during what has almost […]
Latest Positions: Energy, China, Cloud, Shorts
Here is a Part 3 of 3 of the list my latest personal portfolio positions and most of the hedge fund positions with updated commentary and ratings for each position. We will do this week’s Live Q&A chat at 1pm ET Saturday (yes, Saturday, because tomorrow my wife and I are running Amaris up to […]
On The Hands Analysis
Let’s do some “on the hands” analysis. On the one hand, the markets continue to look past the risks from the impact that the Delta variant and the lack of (good) vaccine access for much of the rest of the world. Also, China’s vaccine isn’t working all that great. On the other hand, earnings have […]
Trade Alert: An Immune-oncology Name (And Reversing NKLA Gears)
Two trades to tell you about. First up is a new small cap biotech name, so don’t all go crazy plowing into all at once. We’ve seen this happen before when I send out a Trade Alert on a name like this and they almost always come back down towards the levels at which I […]
Trade Alert: A New Position (Plus Market Commentary)
Would it shock anyone if the markets put in some sort of a top on the day that the company most singlehandedly responsible for getting millions of people into the markets and into cryptos for the first times in their lives came public? I’m not saying that’s what’s happening today, but wasn’t it Elon Musk […]