Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat, including a Trade Alert about moving on from Cisco here. Q. I’m trimming a little here. Cody isn’t really telling us to sell or go short..just keep your longs on and trim a long the way up. Keep your percentages of cash to equities where you […]
Trade Alert: Sell Something You Bought During The Crash To The Casino Crowd Tomorrow
Do you remember back in January 2019 when Tim Cook wrote this letter in which Apple warned that sales had collapsed? The headlines and analysis you read most places read this way: “A shock revenue warning from Apple has stoked fresh fears about trade tensions and spending in the world’s second largest economy. But analysts […]
Trade Alert: A Pop Goes The Weasel Market
This song plays on several of my littlest daughter’s toys and it gets stuck in my head sometimes. Today, it was stuck in my head because I think it’s a good analogy for what’s happening to the retail investors stock market right now: “All around the mulberry bush The monkey chased the weasel The monkey […]
Top Down Analysis of The S&P 500 Is Not Bullish
With all that’s going on with the Coronavirus Crisis, it’s shocking that the the markets are back to where they were just a few months ago, late 2019 levels. The Nasdaq is actually back to where it was in December: Aren’t you glad you didn’t panic out of the markets at the lows? Aren’t you […]
Latest Positions: The Cloud Revolution Stocks
Here is a Part 2 of 5 of the list my latest personal portfolio positions and most of the hedge fund positions with updated commentary and ratings for each position, including a couple Trade Alerts. Well, that was another rather amazing day at the markets, with Tesla and Virgin Galactic leading the way higher. I […]
Corona-Nomics, Detailed Hedging Strategies, How Tesla Just Won, And Everything Else You Need To Know
Here’s the transcript to the wide, wide ranging discussion over video conference I had with the Trading With Cody community on Friday. I’ve organized the questions according to topic, starting with economy/markets (ie, corona-nomics), then strategy/trades and then specific stocks. Be sure to read the last few paragraphs where I finish us up on some […]
Deep Thoughts About The Coronavirus Economic and Market Ramifications
I’m going to riff on a bunch of related deep thoughts and than summarize them all up at the end with strategy and trading ideas. (Let’s do a Google talk tomorrow (Friday) at noon for this week’s Live Q&A Chat at 12pm ET. We’re going to jump on the video conferencing train and use Google […]
Don’t Ask The Government For Help; Who’s Ackman; Can DJIA go to 10,000 and more
Let’s get started early here. Ask me anything for the next hour. Q. Cody, if the USA turn out to be Italy or worse which is probable, I imagine the market will have a bid negative reaction to full hospitals and the terrible stories, no? A. Probably, but it depends on where the markets are […]
Economic Depression Is Possible, But Not Likely
Before the Kurzweil Rate of Change sped things up, here are the generally accepted definitions an economic recession vs. an economic depression: A recession is the contraction phase of the business cycle. The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) describes it this way: ‘A recession is a period of decline in total output, income, employment and […]
Trend Trading, Government “Help,” Bannon vs Bailouts, Buying Bitcoin & More
These markets have been historically crazy for the last month. That’s just a fact. Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat. Q. Some of our stocks are down below our original basis. Wouldn’t it be better for us to trade with the trend until we have more clarity on the situation? Can’t help […]
Trade Alert: Prepare For Better Times
I’m glad I’m not in NYC this week. Wish I hadn’t taken my family there last week. There’s no doubt that the developed world has become Coronavirus obsessed. I would imagine a lot of this germ-phobia is going to stay with us, and that next year flu contractions will be down 20%. The stock market […]
Recession vs Markets, Is it too late to hedge, What’s up with gold, and much more
Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat. Be careful out there, but don’t panic. Q. Hey Cody, I agree with your overall take here but I think the concern for many is that it feels like covid 19 wont ebb and get solved or get over a hump for at least a few […]
Trade Alert: Flow into the market’s ebb
Over the last five weeks, I’ve been to NYC twice and visited Austin and Las Vegas too. With the novel coronavirus still growing in the US, I’m going to stop traveling for at least the next four weeks. I got back from NYC early this morning and am back in the office full-speed today. As […]
Portfolio Strategies For The Kurzweil Singulary Rate of Change Market
Holy crap, how about that move off the bottoms when we were buying Friday??? The extreme moves in the markets and stock prices and economic activities lately remind me to use my theory of my Kurzweil Singularity Rate of Change which I define as: What happens if it all works out? Even if it doesn’t […]
Recession Chances, V Or U Rebound, Is This A Bear Market, And More
Quite a rebound from this morning’s panicky lows where we were buying/nibbling/covering, but the week isn’t over yet, is it? Be careful out there. Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat. Q. Cody: what are the chances we slide into recession? How small companies will weather the slowdown from the virus? Is there […]
What The Headlines Will Say About Coronavirus In A Month
The DJIA tried to rally and got up a full 450 points…before falling 600 points from that level and is now down 150 points as I write this. Even as I’d been so cautious and defensive and I’d warned repeatedly about how the market should not be looking past the Novel Coronavirus (the virus formerly […]
Earnings season, Sanders vs Trump, Monopolies and much more
I had a very productive and interesting three days in NYC. Lots of meetings, running around the city, learning and networking. See pics below. Here’s the transcript for this week’s Live Q&A Chat. Stay vigilant out there. Q. Are you tempted to trim the Chinese holdings due to coronavirus uncertainty? A. I’ve already trimmed them […]
Coronavirus Ramifications and Why It’s Still a Good Time to Be Cautious
The markets today are acting like: “What coronavirus?” as the major indices bounce about 1%. Oh, and then there’s Tesla TSLA TESLA(!) up another [checks screen, rubs eyes, doubles checks screen] 20% today and up more than 250% from where we loading up on it as my favorite pick just nine months ago. But let’s […]
Selling it all, Uber vs Lyft, Chiefs by 30, Space Revolution Loser and much more
Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat. Not much fear in the chat room and that sometimes makes me a little bit worried. Q. Do you think there will be decent pullback? (Different from panicky sell off). A. At some point, definitely. Whether that starts today or next week or next month or […]
Latest Positions Part 3: FANG, DIS, Space Stocks, Defense, Crypto, Shorts
Markets were nasty today with coronavirus fear. I’d rather nibble some of what we trimmed or cover some hedges than panic with the markets right now. In the meantime, here is Part 3 of 3 of my latest personal portfolio positions and most of the hedge fund positions with updated commentary and ratings for each […]