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Trade Alert – Zig when they zag

October 24, 2012 by Cody Willard Leave a Comment

Here’s how the mainstream media works and here’s why you can make good money by just thinking and trading as independent-minded-ly as possible:

Facebook Sales Top Estimates as Companies Warm to Mobile Ads

23 Oct 2012

Facebook Inc. (FB), owner of the biggest social… Third-quarter sales rose 32 percent to $1.26 billion, Menlo Park, California-based Facebook said today in a statement….

Facebook’s Slowing Sales Growth Shows Mobile-Ad Struggle

23 Oct 2012

Facebook Inc. (FB) is set to post another quarter of slowing revenue… A growing proportion of Facebook‘s 1 billion users are checking their accounts via tablets or smartphones…

Those are the articles that Bloomberg chose to run back to back yesterday.  Read from the articles themselves:
In the second earnings report since its May initial public offering, the company may say third-quarter sales rose 29 percent from a year earlier to $1.23 billion, the average of analysts’ estimates compiled by Bloomberg. That’s less than the 32 percent year-over-year rise it posted in the second quarter and a 45 percent gain from a year earlier in the first quarter.
A few hours later:
Third-quarter sales rose 32 percent to $1.26 billion, Menlo Park, California-based Facebook said today in a statement.
Pretty remarkable how set groupthink can become about a stock like this. Anyway, Facebook’s up 20% this morning and we’ve got some big gains on the recent tranches of calls and common that we’ve been buying here on the site and are now up net/net on the Facebook trades. I’m going to trim down just a little bit of it this morning. Selling my nearest-dated calls, including some January 2013 $30s that I have losses on, but also some with gains. I’m holding the longest-dated strike price calls steady because they have less time risk. Selling about 1/10 of my common stock too on this morning’s pop.

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Filed Under: Trade Alert

Disclosure: At the time of publication, the firm in which Willard is a partner and/or Mr. Willard had positions in some of the stocks mentioned above although positions can change at any time and without notice.

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This does not constitute an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation of any security or cryptocurrency or token any other product or service by Cody Willard or any other third party. Furthermore, nothing in this is intended to provide tax, legal, or investment advice and nothing in this should be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any investment or security or cryptocurrency or token or to engage in any investment strategy or transaction. You are solely responsible for determining whether any investment, investment strategy, security or related transaction is appropriate for you based on your personal investment objectives, financial circumstances and risk tolerance. You should consult your business advisor, attorney, or tax and accounting advisor regarding your specific business, legal or tax situation.

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