You ever have a big blister that hurts but keeps getting bigger until finally it pops and though it really hurts at that moment, it actually makes you feel a bit better because now you know things can get back to normal? Is that a bad analogy for the 10-30% pullback in many of the […]
Trade Alert: Sell Something You Bought During The Crash To The Casino Crowd Tomorrow
Do you remember back in January 2019 when Tim Cook wrote this letter in which Apple warned that sales had collapsed? The headlines and analysis you read most places read this way: “A shock revenue warning from Apple has stoked fresh fears about trade tensions and spending in the world’s second largest economy. But analysts […]
Trade Alert: Nibbling, covering and being cool when others panic
Well, we’d spent the last two or three weeks trimming, selling and hedging to try to prepare for the kind of sell-off the markets are now going through. I’m kicking myself for not having pulled more triggers on short ideas with China’s major trading partners, as I’d suggested we look to do as the COVID-19/Novel […]
Trade Alert: Hedges, Dumbest mistakes under 30s make, Contrarian indicators & much more
I have to admit that this week’s Live Q&A Chat was full of questions that were ebullient and free of worry. I think it might be time to nibble a few index put hedges here. I’m nibbling a few puts in the usual suspects, including SMH, IGV and SPY. Strike prices that are about 5% […]
Trade Alert: Disney is ready to become King of The Internet Video Revolution (15 years in!)
I’ve bet much of my career by utilizing and investing in what I’ve called The Internet Video Revolution for the last fifteen years. Fifteen years? Yes, seriously. Here’s an article I wrote for the Financial Times in 2006 quaintly titled: Buy into the internet video business while you still can Cody Willard December 15, 2006 […]
Trade Alert: UBER + Matrix, Space Stocks, Slack, China De-listings, etc
Q. Thanks for your update. I’m 80% cash, nibbling slowly on your names. Question: Does part of you wonder if this might become 2001 again where high fliers like WORK fall 50% – 70%? I’ve been nibbling your recommendations steadily, but they keep putting in lower lows – and we haven’t had a real breakdown […]
Trade Alert: MO no mo’, Moronicoin, Gronkoin, Tesla, Google and Gold
Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat. I’m selling my Altria MO today, more details below. Q. Best guess. When are negative interest rates coming to US? Will that crash the stock market or blow bubble even bigger? A. If the negative interest rate infection comes to the US it will be because […]
Trade Alert: Don’t panic into the panic
I’m covering some more shorts selling a few more of our puts into the continued decline in the stock markets today, including 20-50% of my SPY and SMH and IWM shorts and puts. GLUU is being decimated, and I’m covering half of it. I covered a little more VHC too. I’m also buying some Cisco, […]
Trade Alert: Be cool, maybe cover a little bit
Markets tanking on the latest Trump China Great Trade War headlines. Be cool, perhaps cover a little. I’m covering maybe 20-30% of my SMH short and covering a little bit of my VHC short and even doing a little buying of Google call options 10-15% out of the money dated out to November and December.
Trade Alert: A pulse on a Wall Street vibe
I saw a lot, listened a lot, talked quite a bit and learned a lot in NYC over three days. I tried to get a pulse on the economy there and on the vibe (can you get a pulse on a vibe?) on Wall Street amongst longs, shorts and analysts. The fact is that pretty […]
Trade Alert: Latest Positions with flashbacks (and quite a few trims)
Don’t forget this week’s Live Q&A Chat tomorrow morning at 7am ET in the TWC Chat Room or just email us your question to support@tradingwithcody.com. Here is a list of my latest personal portfolio positions and most of the hedge fund positions with updated commentary and ratings for each position. You’ll notice there are several trades (marked […]
Trade Alert: More puts, Silver vs Gold, FB’s crypto vs Bitcoin and Bernice the Great Pyrenees
Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat including discussion on my Tesla presentation, the market’s rally today and the new FB crypto. Q. Does it look like the Fed cuts 25 points in July and the market moves higher? A. The fact that your question implies that its fait accompli for the market […]
Trade Alert: Full Trade War and stock market analysis
The Great Trade War of the 21st Century is just about the only thing that matters to the markets right now. And even though I always try to look past the headlines (and try to anticipate them before they happen), the fact is that the market is right to be worried about all this trade […]
Trade Alert and Latest Positions: Analysis, ratings plus other ideas
Here is a list of my latest personal portfolio positions and most of the hedge fund positions with updated commentary and ratings for each position. Can I just say, sometimes I feel a lot of pressure to deliver. I do my best guys, but I will make mistakes and be wrong sometimes, of course. A […]
Trade Alert: DELL and EWU, Market volatility, and Tesla’s cash raising brilliance
Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat including discussion on the volatility of the market, Tesla’s cash raises practices and overall portfolio earnings. Q. Shall we nibble something when Mr. Trump scares everybody? A. Pitch by pitch. Scare by scare. Trade by trade. Easy does it. Q. Cody at what point, if at […]
Trade Alert: Portfolio rebalancing and more on the big QCOM win
A few more trades to update you on. I trimmed a little bit of AAPL. I am selling most of my EA for a loss. Mea culpa. I covered some of my GLUU short. I nibbled some more JD. I nibbled some SPLK. I nibbled some ZEN. I’m covering some of our IBB short, about […]
Trade Alert: Several moves in the portfolio
Let’s hit on a few items here to start the week, starting with a couple Trade Alerts. I’ve been continuing to build the TSLA long position, including today. If you can find 30 minutes, you should listen/watch this interview on YouTube from this weekend with Elon, all about Tesla’s AI and Autopilot. INTERVIEW OUTLINE: 0:00 […]
Trade Alert: The futures of bitcoin
Good morning and happy Friday. Let’s talk cryptos for a moment, including a Trade Alert. I’m not allowed to buy cryptocurrencies directly into the hedge fund, but I am able to buy BRR futures, which are bitcoin futures from the Chicago Board Options Exchange. And that’s what I’ve started doing recently, building a small exposure […]
Trade Alert: Markets update and doing some hedging/trimming
I sat down to write up a market overview to send out along with these Trade Alerts, and thought that doing an update on the “Five things that could end The Relentless Rally of 2019” by seeing if any of the five bullet points have changed. To review, here’s what I’d written on February 15: […]
5G market anticipation, risky options, where to trim and more
Here’s the transcript from this week’s Live Q&A Chat, including a discussion on options, country music favorites and a visit with a subscriber in Thailand. Q. Hi Cody, If you wanted to raise your level of cash a bit, where would you trim after this important run in the first months of the year? Where […]